Output

Real time monitoring and forecasting of key macroeconomic and financial indicators, including probabilistic vulnerability indicators

Università Bocconi: Massimiliano Marcellino, Maximilian Boeck, Michael Pfarrhofer, and Tommaso Tornese.

Understanding Italian Regional Fiscal Multipliers. Policy Insights for Enhancing Fiscal Policy Effectiveness

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Luca Fanelli and Marco Mazzali. Department of Economics, University of Bologna

Securing Italy’s Economic Stability in the Era of Population Ageing

A policy brief by Andrea Consiglio, professor of Mathematical Finance at University Of Palermo.

Political risk and sovereign debt sustainability

S. Ajovalasit (University of Palermo), A. Consiglio (University of Palermo), G.Pagliardi (Durham University, UK; University of Cyprus), S.A. Zenios (Cyprus Academy of Sciences, Letters, and Arts, CY; Bruegel, BE)

The Effectiveness of Italian Fiscal Policy: Towards the Quantification of Regional Fiscal Multipliers

Cavaliere, G., Fanelli, L., and Mazzali, M.

Nonparametric Mixed Frequency Monitoring: Macro-at-Risk

Massimiliano Marcellino (Bocconi University), and Michael Pfarrhofer (WU Vienna)

Green Bonds and Financial Stability. A Strategic Asset Class for Sustainable Growth

University of Bologna: Silvia Romagnoli, Amia Santini

Mitigating the Fiscal Risks of Political Instability: Policy Insights for Sovereign Debt Sustainability

A policy brief by Andrea Consiglio, professor of Mathematical Finance at University Of Palermo.

Nonparametric Mixed Frequency Monitoring: Macro-at-Risk

Massimiliano Marcellino (Bocconi University), and Michael Pfarrhofer (WU Vienna)

International trade and public debt from a network approach

Roberto Casarin, Ovielt Baltodano López, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia

Debt Sustainability in the Context of Population Ageing: A Risk Management Approach

Samantha Ajovalasit, Andrea Consiglio, Davide Provenzano. Risks, Volume 12, article number 12, 2024.

Structural changes in contagion channels: the impact of COVID-19 on the Italian electricity market

Ahelegbey D.F., Casarin R., Fianu E.S., Grossi L., Annals of Operation Research 2024

An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Italian Economy

Massimiliano Marcellino and Tommaso Tornese, Department of Economics, Università Bocconi. Policy brief on debt sustainability and financial stability also under compound risk - May 2025

Sovereigns on Thinning Ice. Navigating Debt Sustainability Under Climate Change

A policy brief on debt sustainability and financial stability also under compound risk.

Report II: International trade and public debt from a network approach

A report for the activities of Spoke 4, WP 4.4, prepared by Università Ca' Foscari Venezia and the contribution of Roberto Casarin and Ovielt Baltodano López.